Roberston,+S

[[image:unemployment.jpg width="228" height="171"]] [[image:Property_crime.gif width="256" height="217"]]
=(a) **Brainstorming Topics:** CHOSEN TOPIC... = //→ Crime vs. Unemployment in Hamilton←//
 * Part time jobs vs. Student marks
 * Boyfriend or girlfriend vs. Student marks
 * Pop sales vs. Obesity

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I chose this topic because I thought it would be interesting to find out if being unemployed gets one into trouble and can be a factor in getting into crime. Being employed motivates me to earn money and stay out of trouble myself because I do not want to have a lot of extra time on my hands. From the research I have been looking it, there has been a lot on the fact that being unemployed and getting into trouble has an affect on one another. For example, h ad unemployment been one percentage point in higher in 1992, there would have been nearly 500,000 more crimes in the United States. The US unemployment rate reached 8.1 percent in February 2009, jumping half a percentage point to reach the highest level in 25 years. "Employers eliminated a net 651,000 jobs in the previous month. The total number of unemployed workers reached a staggering 12.5 million, a number that translates into 30 or 40 million people." With these kinds of numbers, people have a lot to do with their time. Crime has always been a part of life ever since men walked the earth and so with unemployment rates increasing the crime rates will as well. In Canada, there were 2,452,787 crimes reported in 2006; 48% were property related crimes and 12.6% were violent crimes. At a rate of 7,518 reported incidents per 100,000 people, the crime rate in 2006, the latest year for which there is statistics (for the site I was looking at), was the lowest crime rate in twenty-five years crime rate has been in general decline since. Therefore, when I look over the statistics I will find, I will find out whether or not my correlation coefficient will be strong positive. ======

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My hypothesis is that there will be a strong positive correlation beween unemployment and crime. When one is unemployed, they have a lot more time on their hands. Usually when this happens, people tend to get into trouble. Like kids in high school, when they do not do extra curricular activities, or have a job they tend to get into trouble as well. I believe this can happen when they start to grow up, or for people that are unemployed. "Policies designed to increase jobs in inner city areas can have a direct, positive effect on crime rates. A new study of crime across the Canada and United States shows that crime rates rise and fall with unemployment." Also, in my opinion, i believe that when someone is unemployed, such as a teenager, they will have more time for drug use and abuse. Alcohol and drug substances have a lot of impact on the way one acts, therefore, could lead to crime - whatever it may be. ======

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All of my information is from government approved sites and I used past historical events that supported unemployment rates and crime rates. ======

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The bigger the sample size, the more accurate your information will be. In order to get the most accurate information you need to have a large sample size. I only did Hamilton so that is a small sample compared to if I were to do all of Canada. If I were to find information on the crime rates and unemployment rates in all of Canada, the results would become more accurate.======

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This occurs when participants deliberately give false or misleading answers and it will influence the results. One may not respond the way they think they should and it will throw off the results of the survey. They may not want to answer truthfully or something like that and will change the outcome of the data.======

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A particular group is under represented in a survey or study becasuse they do not participate or return the survey. This could have happened because if they asked one to mail it in some people may not also influencing the results because it is in a population as a whole. ======

My Plan:
Comparing all four of these figures to get an accurate analysis of the one variable data.
 * finding the mean
 * finding the mode
 * finding the median
 * finding the standard deviation

|| 2007 || 42056 ||



 * Mean:** 45269.142
 * Median:** 42455
 * Mode:** N/A
 * Standard Deviation:** 476.68

** __ Unemployment Rates in Hamilton  __ **

 * 2001 || 6.3% ||
 * 2002 || 7.1% ||
 * 2003 || 6.4% ||
 * 2004 || 6.5% ||
 * 2005 || 6.1% ||
 * 2006 || 6.1% ||
 * 2007 || 6.2% ||

**Mean:** 6.38 

 * Median:** 6.3
 * Mode:** 6.1%
 * Standard Deviation:** 0.3846603

[[file:Doc1khvgnc.doc]]
**Year** || **Unemployment** || **Crime Rate** || **x2** || **y2** || **xy** || 2001 ||  6.30%  ||  52076  ||  39.690000%  ||  2711909776  ||  328079  || 2002  ||  7.10%  ||  48446  ||  50.41%  ||  2347014916  ||  343967  || 2003  ||  6.40%  ||  47578  ||  40.96%  ||  2263666084  ||  304499  || 2004  ||  6.50%  ||  42455  ||  42.25%  ||  1802427026  ||  275958  || 2005  ||  6.10%  ||  42343  ||  37.21%  ||  1792929649  ||  258292  || 2006  ||  6.10%  ||  41930  ||  37.10%  ||  1758124900  ||  255773  || 2007  ||  6.20%  ||  42056  ||  38.44%  ||  1768707136  ||  260747  ||


 * __ Conclusions __**

Overall, in my studies, I came to the conclusion that between the years 2001-2007 in Hamilton, the crime rate (dependent variable) vs unemployment rate (independent varible) has a weak positive correlation. My hypothesis is proven to be incorrect. This is not what I thought would be the outcome and they were very surprising. I originally thought that the number of people unemployed would affect the number of crime rates in Hamilton. From the statistics that I got off Stats Canada, and after my calculations, this has been proven to not be true, at least in Hamilton. It appears that I have underestimated Hamilton to think that if the people that live there are not employed they are more than likely to be commiting crime(s).

__** BIBLIOGRAPHY **__ //Braithwaite, J. (1999, June 16).. Retrieved December 6, 2009, from//[|//http://www.springerlink.com/content/u00r843316837jxj///]

Canada, S. (2008). //Crime in Canada//. Retrieved January 3, 2010, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_Canada

Damon, A. (2009, March 7). //US unemployment rate hits 8.1 percent//. Retrieved January 3, 2010, from http://www.wsws.org/articles/2009/mar2009/jbls-m07.shtml

Elliot, C. (//2002, April 10) .. Retrieved December 6, 2009, from Higher Crime Rate Linked to Low Wages and Unemployment, Study Finds// [|http://researchnews.osu.edu/archive//crimwage.htm//]

//Hudak, T. (2009, June).//[]

Marty, G. (2009, August 24). //Archive for the 'unemployment' Category//. Retrieved December 6, 2009, from http://www.thestandard.org.nz/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/unemployment-and-crime-rate.png

Winter-Ebmer, R. (1993, May 14). //Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime//. Retrieved January 3, 2010, from http://www.cepr.org/press/DP2129.htm